Sterling Desk FX

USD/JPY Market Analysis (2026-10-26)

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Technical Analysis

Market type: transitional, leaning toward trending. Time zone: the chart images are labeled UTC+9 in the lower-right corner, and no extra 9 hours were added to the input time. Images are available; both the 5-minute and 1-hour charts are attached. [FACT-1H] 1H ADX 48.07 indicates a strong trend;

Fundamental Analysis

[MACRO TONE] The market is currently in a mixed-sentiment state, with neither Risk-On nor Risk-Off dominating. Netanyahu denied any escalation with Iran ahead of the election, so geopolitical risk has receded, which is positive for USD/JPY.

Market Strategy

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Quantitative Analysis

Range_Regime: No Range_Score: 15 Volatility_Regime: Normal Core logic: On the 1H, ADX is as high as 48 (strong trend), but MACD and RSI both show heavy overbought conditions (Stoch_K 94+), and fundamentally there is uncertainty on the eve of the FOMC.

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